Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.35	1.38
	7.08	4.45	1.41
	6.83	4.02	1.46	Watch
	7.8	4.45	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↓ (7.9)	4.32 ↓ (4.45)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
13%

Draw
21.3%

Differdange 03
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

20.6%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

19.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 22. Diallo O. 19. Flick T. 18. Lapierre E. 77. Omosanya M. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M. (C)	84. Felipe (G) 10. Abreu A. 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 34. El Idrissi A. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 23. Hadji S. 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 21. Rauch L.
Substitutes
90. Elshan L. 16. Englaro S. (G) 92. Klisurica R. 23. Scholler A. 85. Silvestre R. 12. Yeo Eun-soo	77. Bei G. 9. Buch A. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 39. Jakobi L. 7. Mfoumou B. 28. Pacheco E. 20. Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Abreu A. 🟨,
38', Todorovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', El Idrissi A. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
64', Diallo O. ↓, Elshan L. ↑,
77', Lempereur D. 🟨,
77', Abreu A. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
77', Hadji S. ↓, Mfoumou B. ↑,
79', Borger M. 🟨,
82', Omosanya M. 🟨,
87', Rauch L. ↓, Jakobi L. ↑,
89', Flick T. ↓, Larriere A. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Mfoumou B. ⚽,
90+1', Pinto R. 🟨,
90+2', Mfoumou B. 🟨,
90+5', Larriere A. ↓, Scholler A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Esch won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Jeunesse Canach - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Rodange	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mamer	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTL
- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Mamer - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Canach	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
06.04.25	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	0:2
29.09.24	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:0
30.03.24	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	4:3
27.09.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	3:1
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	3:1
Luxembourg National Division
30.04.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	0:2
26.11.22	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	1:0

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