Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	UNA Strassen		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.35
	1.91	3.58	3.63
	1.95	3.52	3.44	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.91	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNA Strassen
47%

Draw
26.1%

Racing Luxembourg
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNA Strassen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Ozcan K. (G) 20. Agovic A. 30. Agovic D. (C) 18. Dadashev D. 8. Goncalves J. 34. Hall T. 90. Perez N. 69. Perret R. 3. Pimentel D. 14. Sacras A. 9. Zenadji A.	16. Ruffier R. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 4. Kada J. (C) 8. Kante M. 12. Lesquoy T. 29. Matuvangua R. 19. Qevani A. 7. Stolz D.
Substitutes
. Axmann N. 23. Brandenburger E. 22. Garrido D. (G) 31. Grym R. 88. Romeyns B. 5. Schutte D. 6. Vova	99. Azemi E. (G) 40. Ballicalioglu V. 20. Fonrose F. 38. Iserentant Y. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hofland M. ↓, Mabanza C. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Zenadji A. ⚽, Pimentel D. (A),
58', Lesquoy T. ↓, Fonrose F. ↑,
72', Perret R. ↓, Romeyns B. ↑,
72', Qevani A. ↓, Ballicalioglu V. ↑,
80', Freire B. 🟥,
82', Kante M. 🟨,
83', Matuvangua R. ↓, Monge N. ↑,
90', Goncalves J. ↓, Grym R. ↑,
90', Perez N. ↓, Vova ↑,
90+8', Ozcan K. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
90+14', Fonrose F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNA Strassen won 2.

UNA Strassen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing Luxembourg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UNA Strassen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNA Strassen won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UNA Strassen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	8	8	0	0	17:2	15	24
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Mamer - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	UNA Strassen - Atert Bissen	3:3 ✺
15.03.26	Käerjéng 97 - UNA Strassen	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWL
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Victoria Rosport - Racing Luxembourg	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Canach	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
18.10.25	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	1:2
22.02.25	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	0:1
25.08.24	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	0:0
05.05.24	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
26.11.23	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	2:1
23.04.23	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	0:1
13.11.22	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:4

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