Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 21

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Siauliai central stadium (Šiauliai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FA Šiauliai		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.50	3.40	1.79
	3.73	3.85	1.83
	3.11	3.55	2.11	Watch
	3.40	3.65	1.85
	3.92	3.82	1.71
	3.90	3.70	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.08)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai
25.2%

Draw
24.9%

Žalgiris
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

24.7%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Žalgiris (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Baliutavicius G. (C) 8. Baftalovskyi A. 4. Dapkus M. 19. Ikaunieks D. 32. Micevicius G. 24. Naah D. 11. Novikovas A. 13. Romanovskij D. 2. Stankevicius N. 33. Vukovic L. 14. Zebrauskas K.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 19. Bilenkyi S. 15. Bosancic P. 6. Capan M. 21. Franke D. 10. Golubickas P. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 4. Koy Lupano D. 11. Petkovic N. 18. Sesplaukis D. 70. Teixeira B.
Substitutes
23. Benny Silva 50. Bierontas E. 29. Dovydaitis D. 27. Jarasius D. 5. Kersys K. 45. Leipus B. 12. Linkevicius P. (G) 22. Pranckus P. 1. Sivickas V. (G) 30. Vaitiekaitis U.	8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 9. Jarusevicius G. 20. Lytvynenko I. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 7. Mihajlovic N. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M. 5. Turda G. 22. Verbickas O.
Coaches
Kuklys M.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 1, Bilenkyi S. ⚽, Teixeira B. (A),
57', 0 - 2, Petkovic N. ⚽,
58', Novikovas A. ↓, Pranckus P. ↑,
60', Zebrauskas K. ↓, Benny Silva ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Capan M. ⚽,
75', Kendysh Y. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
75', Micevicius G. ↓, Jarasius D. ↑,
75', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Dovydaitis D. ↑,
80', Bilenkyi S. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
80', Petkovic N. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
81', Teixeira B. ↓, Antal L. ↑,
85', Stankevicius N. ↓, Kersys K. ↑,
85', Golubickas P. ↓, Mamatsashvili S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 0.

FA Šiauliai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Žalgiris is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

FA Šiauliai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Žalgiris could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, FA Šiauliai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44
9	FA Siauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17

Last Results with these Odds

FA Šiauliai - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
29.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
28.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.05.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	3:1
07.03.26	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	0:2
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	4:2
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
26.10.25	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	1:0
11.08.25	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	2:2
13.06.25	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	0:0
12.04.25	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	2:0

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