Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Club Friendly 🌤️ ...


	Žalgiris		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.70	3.40
	1.85	3.45	3.7
	1.88	3.65	3.42
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.45	3.35
	1.86	4.12	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)	3.66 ↓ (4.22)	3.45 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
48.8%

Draw
24.8%

Panevėžys
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Žalgiris - Panevėžys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 19. Bilenkyi S. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 10. Golubickas P. 77. Kendysh Y. 4. Koy Lupano D. 7. Mihajlovic N. 70. Teixeira B. 13. Upstas K. 22. Verbickas O.	12. Valius L. (G) 34. Asante I. 77. Bizoza P. 95. Bopesu J. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 33. Keita S. (C) 13. Kerkez S. 8. Kouadio S. 24. Petkevicius N. 6. Ramanauskas M. 32. Rasimavicius R.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 65. Bradunas V. 6. Capan M. . Fogning S. 9. Jarusevicius G. 1. Olses C. (G) 11. Petkovic N. 30. Seck O. 18. Sesplaukis D. 5. Turda G. 27. Vareika M. 39. Velicka D. 26. Zahary Y.	22. Brazinskas A. (G) 1. Cerniauskas V. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 15. Janusevskis J. 50. Krasniqi L. 17. Kurtsev O. 26. Simon J. 7. Veliulis E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Simon J. ⚽,
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.

In recent outings, Žalgiris has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Panevėžys shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Žalgiris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Žalgiris holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:27 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 20:15 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Žalgiris - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.3%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.09.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- FK Panevėžys
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Panevėžys - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.09.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0
03.05.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:1
27.02.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:1
08.11.25	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	3:1
31.08.25	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	2:1
29.06.25	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:4

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