Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 27

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Siauliai central stadium (Šiauliai)

Referee: Smitas R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FA Šiauliai		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.40	1.98
	3.1	3.35	1.98
	3.25	3.75	2.07
	3.17	3.73	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.03
	3.12	3.74	2.08
	3.1	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.76)	3.57 ↑ (3.43)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai
29.1%

Draw
25.6%

Panevėžys
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panevėžys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys Predictions

Users Predictions: Panevėžys will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Baliutavicius G. (C) 4. Dapkus M. 23. Benny Silva 5. Kersys K. 33. Vukovic L. 6. Hasanovic D. 24. Naah D. 8. Baftalovskyi A. 13. Romanovskij D. 29. Dovydaitis D. 19. Ikaunieks D.	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 77. Bizoza P. 15. Janusevskis J. 66. Balsys D. 32. Rasimavicius R. 8. Kouadio S. 6. Ramanauskas M. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 16. Bacanin M. 24. Petkevicius N. 79. Paulauskas V.
Substitutes
50. Bierontas E. 51. Gestautas G. 59. Gruodis G. 41. Gustas K. 27. Jarasius D. 32. Micevicius G. 22. Pranckus P. 1. Sivickas V. (G) 30. Vaitiekaitis U. 66. Valuckas A. 14. Zebrauskas K.	27. Asamoah K. 34. Asante I. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 80. Elivelton 13. Kerkez S. 50. Krasniqi L. 17. Kurtsev O. 4. Mzoughi R. 12. Valius L. (G)
Coaches
Lastauskas D.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Cerniauskas V. 🟥,
6', Bacanin M. ↓, Brazinskas A. ↑,
9', 1 - 0, Dovydaitis D. ⚽, Ikaunieks D. (A),
38', Vukovic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paulauskas V. ↓, Asamoah K. ↑,
61', Romanovskij D. 🟨,
61', Hasanovic D. ↓, Zebrauskas K. ↑,
66', Petkevicius N. ↓, Kurtsev O. ↑,
66', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
77', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Valuckas A. ↑,
78', Dovydaitis D. ↓, Jarasius D. ↑,
81', Balsys D. 🟨,
84', Balsys D. ↓, Asante I. ↑,
88', Dapkus M. ↓, Micevicius G. ↑,
88', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Gustas K. ↑,
90+3', Micevicius G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 2.

FA Šiauliai is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Panevėžys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Panevėžys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FA Šiauliai has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, FA Šiauliai won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32
9	FA Siauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	3:4 ✺
03.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	4:0 ✺
05.07.26	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.08.26	Transinvest - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Panevėžys	2:1 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Panevėžys - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	3:2
18.04.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	3:1
05.10.25	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	3:3
20.07.25	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	2:0
01.06.25	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	2:1
02.03.25	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	1:3
27.10.24	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	1:3

FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide