Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 22

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kauno Žalgiris		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.30	4.50	7.00
	1.33	5.29	9.95
	1.38	4.77	7.37	Watch
	1.28	5.20	9.85
	1.31	4.75	7.80	Watch
	1.34	4.70	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)	4.85 ↑ (4.78)	7.96 ↑ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
69.5%

Draw
19%

Panevėžys
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

18.1%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 4. Racic L. 23. Hernandez A. 33. Konatar M. 8. Karashima Y. 14. Slivka V. 24. Burba M. 7. Benchaib A. 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 27. Asamoah K. 13. Kerkez S. 15. Janusevskis J. 66. Balsys D. 17. Kurtsev O. 6. Ramanauskas M. 11. Grajfoner L. 79. Paulauskas V. 24. Petkevicius N. 28. Burdzilauskas E.
Substitutes
1. Aliukonis J. (G) 32. Baldassarra F. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 99. Kadric H. 77. Lekiatas R. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A.	21. Adah J. 34. Asante I. 16. Bacanin M. 77. Bizoza P. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 8. Kouadio S. 25. Lukosevicius I. 4. Mzoughi R. 32. Rasimavicius R. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Renan Oliveira ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Benchaib A. ⚽, Burba M. (A),
28', Balsys D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moutachy J. ↓, Burdzilauskas T. ↑,
46', Kerkez S. ↓, Bizoza P. ↑,
46', Asamoah K. ↓, Asante I. ↑,
56', Grajfoner L. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Benchaib A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Konatar M. ↓, Lekiatas R. ↑,
58', Benchaib A. ↓, Sirgedas G. ↑,
59', Ourega F. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
66', Paulauskas V. ↓, Kouadio S. ↑,
69', Karashima Y. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
71', Kurtsev O. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
80', Renan Oliveira 🟨,
80', Grajfoner L. ↓, Adah J. ↑,
90', Baldassarra F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 3.

Kauno Žalgiris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Panevėžys has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Drita Gjilan	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWL
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.07.26	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:1 ✺
29.06.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.05.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1
10.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:0
Lithuanian Super Cup
16.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	1:0
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
02.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:2
24.08.25	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:0
24.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0
19.04.25	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2

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