Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Predio de FADEP (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	FADEP		San Martín de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.30	5.75
	1.62	3.15	5.7
	1.63	3.2	5.9
	1.65	3.32	6.23	Watch
	1.58	3.1	5.8
	1.6	3.22	6.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	5.9 ↑ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FADEP
56.4%

Draw
28.2%

San Martín de Mendoza
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

29.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

31.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FADEP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Iribarren N. 8. Kalinski E. 5. Lopez L. R. 7. Mendez J. 3. Perez F. 9. Persia M. 6. Sosa B. 11. Taboada L. 10. Tonetto D.	11. Almeida J. 10. Arce D. 8. Batistella E. 16. Benedetti F. 14. Bernabe N. 4. Caro V. 2. Contreras M. 7. Ferro A. 20. Gonzalez D. 19. Herensperger R. . Leon J.
Substitutes
14. Caballero S. 18. Dellarole P. 17. Gizzi U. 16. Gurzi J. 19. Klusener G. 15. Navarro M. 12. Rivadeneira F. (G) 13. Satti T. 20. Zabaleta B.	15. Maidana M. 13. Mas L. 18. Mazzolo J. 5. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 6. Velazquez P. 3. Zapata M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Zapata M. 🟨,
35', Arce D. ↓, Herensperger R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Recent performances by FADEP have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SM de Mendoza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SM de Mendoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, FADEP is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, FADEP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fundación Amigos Por El Deporte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	FADEP - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	FADEP - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Rincón - FADEP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTTTT
- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	3:1 ✺
07.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	San Martín de Mendoza - FADEP	1:1

FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide