The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atenas Río Cuarto 55%
Draw 27.8%
FADEP 17.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48%
29.7%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
29.9%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas Río Cuarto's performance.
FADEP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FADEP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perez F. (G) 2. Arcando A. 5. Castro I. 3. Duco V. 4. Guzman G. 9. Oballes P. 10. Quiroga F. 11. Rivadero M. 8. Rosales M. 6. Suarez A. 7. Vera M.
1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Iribarren N. 5. Lopez L. R. 3. Perez F. 8. Perez I. 9. Persia M. 7. Soria L. 6. Sosa B. 11. Taboada L. 10. Tonetto D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Oballes P. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Perez I. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Mainero A. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-2.
Atenas Río Cuarto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
FADEP is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
FADEP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, FADEP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Atenas Río Cuarto is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Atenas Río Cuarto has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:9 (averaging 0.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atenas Río Cuarto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
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Perez F. (G) 
Soria L. 
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