Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)


	FBK Karlstad		Kongahälla

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.4	4.2
	1.58	4.75	4.15
	1.56	4.7	3.94
	1.63	4.48	4.13
	1.58	4.65	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	4.6 ↑ (4.45)	4.09 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
57.9%

Draw
19.8%

Kongahälla
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

20.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for FBK Karlstad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Kongahälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongahälla than the current prediction. (-2%)

FBK Karlstad - Kongahälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, Beqiri A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kongahälla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kongahälla has had a series of home games.

In this match, FBK Karlstad is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, FBK Karlstad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
28.09.25	Vänersborgs FK - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	FBK Karlstad - Tidaholms GoIF	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Lidkoping - FBK Karlstad	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	FBK Karlstad - Motala	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Kumla - FBK Karlstad	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- IK Kongahälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.09.25	Kongahälla - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Kongahälla - Lidkoping	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Motala - Kongahälla	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Kongahälla - Vänersborgs IF	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kongahälla - Tidaholms GoIF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
10.05.25	Kongahälla - FBK Karlstad	2:3

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