Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.50	2.80
	2.10	3.45	2.80
	2.08	4.01	2.97
	2.13	3.79	2.97	Watch
	2.05	3.95	2.80
	2.13	3.74	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)	3.74 ↑ (3.53)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
43.7%

Draw
24.5%

Vasalund
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

FBK Karlstad - Vasalund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.	1. Olafsson S. (G) 19. Dejene M. 11. Khan A. 8. Lundstrom J. 6. Lundvall L. 10. Nikolic M. 14. Sliwo C. 5. Soelberg P. 12. Torppa E. 20. Vucenovic M. 26. Westin T.
Substitutes
15. Dukhan W. 11. Faustini R. 1. Gustafsson N. (G) 9. Johansson Bahar F. 3. Parleholt A. 7. Qassem M. 12. Sandstad A.	7. Amos P. 24. Bilgec B. 25. Graasvoll T. (G) 15. Lukic F. 9. Mac Callum E. 28. Ostergren M. 16. Tadayon K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Steen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olsson W. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
60', Dejene M. 🟨,
71', Nikolic M. ↓, Mac Callum E. ↑,
71', Sliwo C. ↓, Amos P. ↑,
71', Torppa E. ↓, Lukic F. ↑,
72', Dejene M. ↓, Tadayon K. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Sandstad A. ⚽, Steen L. (A),
81', Fredriksson L. ↓, Parleholt A. ↑,
81', Steen L. ↓, Johansson Bahar F. ↑,
87', Lundstrom J. ↓, Bilgec B. ↑,
87', Oluwayemi M. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Khan A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

FBK Karlstad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vasalund has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

FBK Karlstad might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, FBK Karlstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, FBK Karlstad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
12	Vasalund	25	7	6	12	36:52	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Enköping	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.09.26	Vasalund - Enköping	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Umeå - Vasalund	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Vasalund - Stocksund	4:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Vasalund - Norrköping	1:2 AET ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	Piteå - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.04.26	Vasalund - FBK Karlstad	1:3
14.09.24	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	1:2
30.06.24	Vasalund - FBK Karlstad	0:0

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