Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 11

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	FC Andorra		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	4.2	Watch
	2	3	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.11	3.08	4.35
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	1.96	3.3	4.05	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.94 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
46%

Draw
30.1%

Alcorcón
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	39.1%	26.1%

FC Andorra - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin D. (G) 18. Petxa A. 4. Pastor A. 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Marsa J. 21. Bover R. (C) 8. Samper S. 10. Gil I. 7. Lobete J. 19. Scheidler A. 27. Benito I.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 17. Garcia V. 2. Castro J. 6. Babin J. (C) 3. Morillas D. 23. Chema 18. Eteki Y. 8. Rodriganez J. 5. Mosquera P. 15. Lara J. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
23. Alende D. 11. Alvaro 22. Arroyo A. 17. Calvo A. 6. Jandro 2. Miguel 14. Molina S. 24. Moreno P. 9. Nieto M. 1. Ratti N. (G) 12. Shabani L. 20. Vila M.	26. Addai E. 13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 14. Lopez A. 20. Lopez I. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Fernandez F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Andorra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.23	Elche - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	FC Andorra - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
18.09.23	FC Andorra - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.23	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Alcorcón - Huesca	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Alcorcón - Levante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLL

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