Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 7

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	4.03
	2.23	2.91	3.7	Watch
	2.21	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.69)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)	3.71 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
42.5%

Draw
32%

Huesca
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

32.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huesca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	46.7%	6.7%

Alcorcón - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Huesca will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcorcón: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 6. Babin J. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 8. Rodriganez J. 5. Mosquera P. 18. Eteki Y. 26. Addai E. 11. Sousa D. 9. Borrego C.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 12. Juanjo Nieto 5. Loureiro M. 14. Pulido J. 3. Martos I. 6. Mier J. 23. Sielva O. 8. Martinez J. 11. Munoz J. 24. Obeng S. 9. Vallejo H.
Substitutes
22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 17. Garcia V. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X.	26. Balboa A. 15. Blasco J. 16. Bolivar J. 10. Hashimoto K. 19. Kante A. 22. Kortajarena I. 17. Lombardo E. 13. Perez Juan (G) 27. Rico M. 7. Valentin G.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Ziganda C.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1.

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huesca is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
16.09.23	Alcorcón - Levante	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTTTW
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
16.09.23	Huesca - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	Leganés - Huesca	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Huesca - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Huesca - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.22	Alcorcón - Huesca	1:0
19.12.21	Huesca - Alcorcón	0:0
08.07.20	Huesca - Alcorcón	2:1
30.11.19	Alcorcón - Huesca	0:2
13.05.18	Huesca - Alcorcón	1:1
09.12.17	Alcorcón - Huesca	1:1
21.01.17	Huesca - Alcorcón	0:1

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