Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.53	2.97	3.39
	2.44	3.04	3.14	Watch
	2.47	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.46)	3 ↑ (2.95)	3.17 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
38.6%

Draw
31.5%

Levante
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Alcorcón - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 6. Babin J. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 2. Castro J. 9. Borrego C. 5. Mosquera P. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 26. Addai E. 20. Lopez I. 11. Sousa D.	13. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Capa A. 3. Munoz A. 9. Gomez D. 5. Valle A. 30. Garcia A. 20. Rey O. 15. Postigo S. 21. Lozano S. 22. Bouldini M. 11. Cantero A.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 17. Garcia V. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 8. Rodriganez J.	23. Algobia A. 37. Alvarez C. 16. Blesa Alex 7. Brugue R. 17. Clemente O. 4. de la Fuente A. 12. Fabricio 1. Femenias J. (G) 6. Kochorashvili G. 29. Navarro M. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Calleja J.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.23	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TTTWL
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.23	Levante - Espanyol	1:4 ✺
02.09.23	Levante - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Levante - Burgos	3:2 ✺
11.08.23	Amorebieta - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.01.17	Alcorcón - Levante	2:0
28.08.16	Levante - Alcorcón	2:0

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