Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta (Cascavel)


	FC Cascavel		Avenida

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.24	2.98	3.28
	2.1	2.99	3.51
	2.2	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.64)	2.95 ↑ (2.87)	3.32 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
41.9%

Draw
30.7%

Avenida
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Cascavel's performance.

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avenida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Cascavel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avenida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Cascavel - Avenida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Manoel ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Manoel ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Negueba ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

FC Cascavel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	FC Cascavel - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
29.06.24	Hercílio Luz - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	FC Cascavel - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTWT
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Avenida - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
10.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	4:0 ✺
06.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Avenida - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cianorte - Avenida	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Avenida - FC Cascavel	1:2

FC Cascavel - Avenida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide