Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Avenida		Hercílio Luz

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.25	2.92	3.29
	2.27	2.92	3.28	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.22	2.96	3.24
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.82)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)	3.23 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avenida
41.2%

Draw
30.7%

Hercílio Luz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

30.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hercílio Luz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avenida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hercílio Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avenida - Hercílio Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Avenida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Avenida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	4:0 ✺
06.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Avenida - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cianorte - Avenida	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Hercílio Luz - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Avenida	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Avenida	2:1

Avenida - Hercílio Luz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide