Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta (Cascavel)


	FC Cascavel		Joinville

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.59	3.31
	2.57	2.44	3.48
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.42	2.59	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.24)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)	3.28 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
36.4%

Draw
35.9%

Joinville
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

34.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

37.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Cascavel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

FC Cascavel - Joinville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Borech ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

FC Cascavel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Joinville is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

FC Cascavel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

FC Cascavel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, FC Cascavel won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, FC Cascavel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Joinville - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	FC Cascavel - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	FC Cascavel - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	São Luiz - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	FC Cascavel - Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWTW
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Joinville - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Joinville - Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cianorte - Joinville	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Guarany de Bagé - Joinville	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Joinville - São Luiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Joinville - FC Cascavel	1:1
04.09.21	Joinville - FC Cascavel	3:1
05.06.21	FC Cascavel - Joinville	3:3

FC Cascavel - Joinville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide