Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 24

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: 1508 SaalfeldenArena (Saalfelden)


	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden		Austria Salzburg

	1	X	2
	4.8	4	1.51
	5.6	4.3	1.45
	5.53	4.05	1.51
	6.24	4.42	1.43
	5.96	4.49	1.47
	5.6	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (4.32)	4.26 ↑ (4.1)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Pinzgau Saalfelden
16.3%

Draw
21.5%

Austria Salzburg
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.2%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

21.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Pinzgau Saalfelden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austria Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Pinzgau Saalfelden than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4%)

FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Pinzgau won 1.

FC Pinzgau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Austria Salzburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Austria Salzburg is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, FC Pinzgau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Pinzgau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pinzgau Saalfelden
Austrian Regionalliga West
26.04.25	Röthis - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:3 ✺
21.04.25	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Lauterach	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Kitzbühel	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Wals-Grünau - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Kuchl	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWL
- SV Austria Salzburg
Austrian Regionalliga West
26.04.25	Austria Salzburg - Lauterach	5:0 ✺
19.04.25	Reichenau - Austria Salzburg	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Austria Salzburg - Kuchl	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Austria Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach U21	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Hohenems - Austria Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West
28.09.24	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	5:0
11.11.23	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:0
29.07.23	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	0:1
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
22.10.22	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	1:0
15.08.22	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:0
04.09.21	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	1:1
26.09.20	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	2:1

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