Match Info

K League 1 - Round 27

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	FC Seoul		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.60	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.60	4.40
	1.77	3.30	3.90
	1.82	3.68	4.87
	1.84	3.6	4.13	Watch
	1.78	3.60	4.80
	1.75	3.72	4.71	Watch
	1.74	3.60	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	4.44 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
52.8%

Draw
26.1%

Incheon United
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Seoul's performance.

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

FC Seoul - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Incheon (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 40. Park Seong-hun 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 8. Lee Seung-Mo 6. Babec H. 10. Anderson Oliveira 42. Son J. 9. Klimala P.	1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong (C) 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 15. Seo Jae-Min 26. Lee Min-Hyuk 23. Jeong Chi-In 72. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Mugosa S.
Substitutes
17. Ahn Jae-min 19. Cheon Seong-Hoon 41. Hwang Do-Yun 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 20. Lee Han-Do 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 66. Park Soo-Il 11. Ruiz L.	13. Choi Seung-gu 99. Ferrier M. 11. Gerso 88. Jung Won-Jin 17. Kim Seong-Min 30. Kim Young-whan 70. Leandro Ribeiro 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 20. Park Kyung-sub
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Kim Gun-Hee 🟥,
11', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Park Kyung-sub ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Gerso ↑,
46', Park Seong-hun ↓, Lee Han-Do ↑,
46', Son J. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
57', Mugosa S. ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Lee Ju-Yong (Own goal),
69', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Kim Young-whan ↑,
69', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
72', Klimala P. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
79', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
89', Gerso 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 4.

Seoul has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Incheon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Seoul is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Last Results with these Odds

FC Seoul - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 47.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
30.08.26	Gwangju - FC Seoul	2:5 ✺
25.08.26	FC Seoul - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Anyang - FC Seoul	0:7 ✺
15.08.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
30.08.26	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Anyang - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Jeju - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.07.26	FC Seoul - Incheon United	1:0
28.02.26	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:2
27.07.24	Incheon United - FC Seoul	0:1
11.05.24	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:2
10.03.24	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:0
22.07.23	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:1
07.06.23	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:1

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