Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	FC Seoul		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.65	Watch
	4.25	3.6	1.75
	3.85	3.85	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.7
	4.49	4.03	1.77
	4.4	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.45	3.86	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.62)	3.84 ↑ (3.66)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
21.8%

Draw
24.2%

Beijing Guoan
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.4%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

19.7%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Seoul - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Seoul is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Beijing Guoan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seoul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beijing Guoan is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Seoul won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Seoul won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
31.10.20	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
24.10.20	FC Seoul - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	FC Seoul - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
26.09.20	Suwon Bluewings - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
11.11.20	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
02.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	3:1 ✺
28.10.20	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
22.10.20	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
23.04.14	FC Seoul - Beijing Guoan	2:1
11.03.14	Beijing Guoan - FC Seoul	1:1
21.05.13	FC Seoul - Beijing Guoan	3:1
14.05.13	Beijing Guoan - FC Seoul	0:0

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