Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportyvnyj Kompleks (Sevastopol)


	FC Sevastopol		Forte Taganrog

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.94	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)	3.94 ↑ (3.82)	1.88 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Sevastopol
28.5%

Draw
23.1%

Forte Taganrog
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.8%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.4%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Forte Taganrog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forte Taganrog than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

FC Sevastopol - Forte Taganrog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Potapov L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, Obolentsev A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Recent matches Sevastopol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forte Taganrog is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forte Taganrog could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Forte Taganrog is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
29.09.24	Stroitel Kamensk-Shakhtinsky - FC Sevastopol	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	FC Sevastopol - Astrakhan	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	FC Sevastopol - Rubin Yalta	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Alania 2 - FC Sevastopol	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	FC Sevastopol - Angust Nazran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWT
- Forte Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
28.09.24	Forte Taganrog - Pobeda Khasavyurt	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Dynamo Stavropol - Forte Taganrog	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Forte Taganrog - Kuban-Kholding	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Astrakhan - Forte Taganrog	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.24	Forte Taganrog - Kuban-Kholding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWL

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