Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 21

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FC Tallinn		Flora U21

	1	X	2
	3.90	4.33	1.58
	4.50	4.40	1.45
	3.53	4.53	1.61
	3.7	4.75	1.63
	3.55	4.55	1.60
	4.11	4.45	1.58
	3.95	4.40	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.01)	4.49 ↓ (4.7)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
23%

Draw
20%

Flora U21
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

19.1%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

18.1%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Tallinn's performance.

Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flora U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Tallinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flora U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Tallinn - Flora U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Ekharts D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 2.

In recent matches, FC Tallinn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flora U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Flora U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Flora U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flora U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Tallinn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.9:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39:63	-24	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.26	Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	FC Tallinn - Elva	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United U21	4:3 ✺
21.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	4:0 ✺
18.06.26	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WLWLL
- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5 ✺
Estonian Cup
22.07.26	Narva Trans - Flora U21	1:0 penalties ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	Nõmme United U21 - Flora U21	1:1 ✺
09.07.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:3
10.04.26	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	5:0
27.10.25	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	2:4
02.08.25	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	2:3
14.06.25	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:0
09.03.25	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	2:0
Club Friendly
08.02.25	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	5:2

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