Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)


	FC Tallinn		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.75	12.5
	1.05	11	19
	1.04	14.62	15.38
	1.09	10.1	19.1	Watch
	1.21	6.3	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.33)	9.75 ↑ (5.08)	14.9 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
84.2%

Draw
9.6%

Tammeka U21
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

17.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Tallinn's performance.

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tammeka U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Tallinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tammeka U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Tallinn - Tammeka U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - FC Tallinn (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Tallinn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bolgov S. (G) 27. Ussatsov I. 30. Tsurilkin V. 17. Avilov V. 21. Tinyakov M. 77. Vynnychuk A. 8. Malinin V. 39. Istsenko V. 44. Nesterov K. 18. Plotnikov V. 20. Arhipov L.	22. Sahtel K. (G) 5. Kiidjarv L. 4. Vaino M. 14. Kupits K. 25. Puu J. 10. Kiidron K. 6. Korgvee G. 23. Viinapuu A. 7. Dobosev-Proosvali A. 9. Muur R. 29. Silov R.
Substitutes
74. Ekharts D. 7. Golovljov E. 4. Mohhov I. 35. Sesterikov M. 11. Shevchuk N. 15. Slobodjan A. 25. Usachev M. (G) 14. Zhuravlev D.	2. Alekand K. 12. Antsov A. (G) 27. Burov K. 8. Hurt R. 13. Jurgenthal G. 31. Karis K. 3. Kupits K. 24. Rand K. 19. Sirk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Plotnikov V. ⚽,
36', Korgvee G. 🟨,
43', Istsenko V. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Malinin V. ⚽,

Preview

FC Tallinn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tammeka U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, FC Tallinn is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, FC Tallinn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
14.07.25	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco	1:5 ✺
30.06.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - FC Tallinn	0:3 ✺
19.06.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga
12.07.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:5 ✺
05.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	7:0 ✺
30.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Flora U21	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme United	0:12 ✺
14.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
29.05.25	Tammeka U21 - FC Tallinn	2:3
10.04.25	FC Tallinn - Tammeka U21	3:1

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