Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	FF Jaro		Kajaani

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.5
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.35	5	7
	1.39	4.9	6
	1.42	5.25	6.97
	1.38	4.6	7
	1.38	5.2	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	5.03 ↓ (5.1)	6.65 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FF Jaro
67.5%

Draw
18.5%

Kajaani
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

18.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.1%

15.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kajaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FF Jaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

FF Jaro - Kajaani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Jaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kajaani is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jaro is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jaro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FF Jaro
Finnish Ykkonen
04.10.20	FF Jaro - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
30.09.20	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	1:3 ✺
25.09.20	FF Jaro - Oulu	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	MYPA - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	FF Jaro - Ekenäs	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTW
- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
10.10.20	KPV Kokkola - Kajaani	8:2 ✺
04.10.20	Kajaani - VPS Vaasa	0:2 ✺
30.09.20	Oulu - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Ekenäs - Kajaani	5:0 ✺
16.09.20	Kajaani - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
27.06.20	Kajaani - FF Jaro	2:2
Finnish Cup
25.01.20	FF Jaro - Kajaani	1:2
Finnish Ykkonen
20.10.19	FF Jaro - Kajaani	3:0
10.08.19	Kajaani - FF Jaro	1:2
16.06.19	FF Jaro - Kajaani	1:1
22.09.18	Kajaani - FF Jaro	0:1
25.07.18	FF Jaro - Kajaani	3:3

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