Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Kajaani		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	1.91	3.6	3.2
	1.98	3.5	3.4
	2.08	3.4	3.2
	2.16	3.63	3.38
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2.09	3.54	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	3.52 ↓ (3.64)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kajaani
45.3%

Draw
26.3%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

17%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kajaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kajaani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikkelin Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kajaani - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kajaani will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kajaani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
12.09.20	Gnistan - Kajaani	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Kajaani - MuSa	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	SJK Akatemia - Kajaani	1:4 ✺
22.08.20	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
16.08.20	Kajaani - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
11.09.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - FF Jaro	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
30.08.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Oulu	0:1 ✺
26.08.20	MYPA - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
22.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
19.07.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Kajaani	2:1

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