Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Oulu		Kajaani

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.1	5.6
	1.49	4.1	5.6
	1.51	4.49	6.58
	1.47	4	6.5
	1.48	4.33	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	4.25 ↓ (4.45)	6.2 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
63.3%

Draw
21.8%

Kajaani
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

12.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kajaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kajaani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oulu - Kajaani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kajaani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oulu is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oulu won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Oulu won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
25.09.20	FF Jaro - Oulu	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Oulu - KPV Kokkola	1:2 ✺
16.09.20	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	SJK Akatemia - Oulu	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Oulu - MYPA	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTW
- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
20.09.20	Ekenäs - Kajaani	5:0 ✺
16.09.20	Kajaani - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Gnistan - Kajaani	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Kajaani - MuSa	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	SJK Akatemia - Kajaani	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
05.08.20	Kajaani - Oulu	1:1
Finnish Cup
01.02.20	Oulu - Kajaani	3:1
Finnish Ykkonen
24.08.19	Kajaani - Oulu	3:1
25.06.19	Oulu - Kajaani	2:2
06.05.19	Kajaani - Oulu	0:2
24.08.18	Oulu - Kajaani	0:0
26.06.18	Oulu - Kajaani	2:2

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