Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Kajaani		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.6	2.5
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.4	3.5	2.6
	2.44	3.35	2.6
	2.57	3.6	2.73
	2.45	3.4	2.62
	2.43	3.64	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	3.5 ↓ (3.66)	2.61 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kajaani
38.1%

Draw
26.4%

VPS Vaasa
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

25.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

17.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kajaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kajaani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kajaani - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kajaani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kajaani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kajaani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
30.09.20	Oulu - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Ekenäs - Kajaani	5:0 ✺
16.09.20	Kajaani - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Gnistan - Kajaani	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Kajaani - MuSa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTLW
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Ykkonen
30.09.20	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	1:3 ✺
26.09.20	KPV Kokkola - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	SJK Akatemia - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
09.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Kajaani	1:1
Finnish Cup
15.02.20	Kajaani - VPS Vaasa	1:3

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