Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	FF Jaro		MuSa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	2	3.3	3.5
	2.01	3.35	3.4
	2.06	3.55	3.75
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.99	3.54	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.79)	3.48 ↓ (3.69)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FF Jaro
47.2%

Draw
26.7%

MuSa
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

15.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FF Jaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MuSa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FF Jaro - MuSa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Recent matches Jaro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

MuSa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Jaro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FF Jaro
Finnish Ykkonen
17.07.21	Klubi 04 - FF Jaro	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	RoPS - FF Jaro	3:1 ✺
20.06.21	FF Jaro - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
13.06.21	JIPPO - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
06.06.21	FF Jaro - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWT
- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
15.07.21	MuSa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	JIPPO - MuSa	1:1 ✺
04.07.21	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
20.06.21	KPV Kokkola - MuSa	1:2 ✺
13.06.21	MuSa - VPS Vaasa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
31.10.20	MuSa - FF Jaro	3:1
23.08.20	FF Jaro - MuSa	5:2
31.08.19	MuSa - FF Jaro	2:1
29.06.19	FF Jaro - MuSa	3:3
11.05.19	MuSa - FF Jaro	1:1
Finnish Cup
26.01.19	MuSa - FF Jaro	1:1
28.01.17	FF Jaro - MuSa	2:0

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