Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	MuSa		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.55	3.05
	2.05	3.45	3.2
	2.15	3.62	3.42
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.11	3.62	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.33)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	3.2 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
44.6%

Draw
26.5%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

20.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MuSa's performance.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MuSa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	25.9%	3.7%

MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. MuSa will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MuSa: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

MuSa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mikkelin Palloilijat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MuSa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
20.06.21	KPV Kokkola - MuSa	1:2 ✺
13.06.21	MuSa - VPS Vaasa	3:0 ✺
29.05.21	Ekenäs - MuSa	2:2 ✺
26.05.21	MuSa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	MuSa - RoPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWTTW
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
20.06.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JIPPO	4:1 ✺
13.06.21	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
04.06.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	2:1 ✺
29.05.21	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:0 ✺
23.05.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
26.09.20	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1
02.08.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	1:2
Finnish Cup
07.02.20	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:3

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