Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 28

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	FSV Duisburg		Homberg

	1	X	2
	5.6	4.7	1.32
	6.97	5.15	1.35
	7.2	5.45	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (7.7)	5.1 ↑ (5)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FSV Duisburg
13.8%

Draw
17.8%

Homberg
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.3%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FSV Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FSV Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Homberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FSV Duisburg - Homberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

FSV Duisburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Homberg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Homberg is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches FSV Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-12.

Including matches at home between the teams FSV Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Duisburg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
05.03.23	Meerbusch - FSV Duisburg	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	FSV Duisburg - Velbert	0:7 ✺
17.02.23	Uerdingen - FSV Duisburg	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	FSV Duisburg - St Tonis	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Union Nettetal - FSV Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLLTT
- VfB Homberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
05.03.23	Homberg - Schonnebeck	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Sonsbeck - Homberg	2:2 ✺
17.02.23	Homberg - Cronenberger	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	MSV Düsseldorf - Homberg	0:4 ✺
05.02.23	Homberg - Germania Ratingen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
11.09.22	Homberg - FSV Duisburg	1:1
17.03.19	FSV Duisburg - Homberg	0:7
09.09.18	Homberg - FSV Duisburg	4:0

FSV Duisburg - Homberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide