Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 18

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Faetano		Folgore

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.39
	7.1	4.05	1.38
	6.87	4.37	1.36
	7.95	4.63	1.34	Watch
	8	3.9	1.36
	7.95	4.15	1.36
	6.5	4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.34 ↓ (7.92)	4.16 ↓ (4.73)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faetano
12.3%

Draw
21.7%

Folgore
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

19.4%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

18.6%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Faetano - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Malaponti F. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Adam ⚽, Cateni F. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 1.

Faetano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Folgore has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Folgore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Folgore is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.01.26	Tre Penne - Faetano	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Faetano - Murata	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tre Fiori - Faetano	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Faetano - Fiorentino	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Domagnano - Faetano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.01.26	Folgore - Virtus	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Cailungo - Folgore	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Folgore	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cosmos - Folgore	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	Folgore - Faetano	2:0
05.04.25	Folgore - Faetano	1:1
24.02.24	Folgore - Faetano	4:1
04.11.23	Faetano - Folgore	4:1
12.02.23	Folgore - Faetano	0:0
02.10.22	Faetano - Folgore	0:3
15.02.22	Faetano - Folgore	0:1

Faetano - Folgore: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide