Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Fafe		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.75	4.6
	1.61	3.96	4.88
	1.69	3.52	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.06)	3.7 ↑ (3.11)	4.75 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
56.1%

Draw
24.7%

Pevidem
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fafe's performance.

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pevidem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Fafe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pevidem has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fafe is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fafe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fafe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Sacavenense - Fafe	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.21	Felgueiras - Fafe	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.21	Mirandela - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
27.08.21	Fafe - Canelas	1:0 ✺
20.08.21	Fafe - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWT
- GD Pevidem
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Pevidem - Trofense	1:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.21	Pevidem - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Anadia - Pevidem	4:2 ✺
20.08.21	Pevidem - Sanjoanense	1:3 ✺
15.08.21	Montalegre - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.01.21	Pevidem - Fafe	1:0
18.10.20	Fafe - Pevidem	2:1

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