Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Fafe		Canelas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.17	3.1	2.96
	2.33	3.15	3.37
	2.16	3.1	3.21
	2.11	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.14 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
42.1%

Draw
29%

Canelas
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.2%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Canelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel E. (G) 85. Castro D. 3. da Silva G. W. 4. Chicao 15. Miguel J. 10. Serra Matos P. M. (C) 23. Veiga D. 55. Amoah J. 9. Kodama R. 24. Didi 28. Joel	1. Matos J. (G) 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 4. Carvalho A. 49. Silva J. 66. Soares J. 30. Santos D. M. 6. Luan 8. Samu (C) 20. Ribeiro F. 28. Tank A. 18. Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D.
Substitutes
7. Braz I. 20. Folha A. 8. Fortunato B. 5. Goncalves N. 27. Monteiro B. 21. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 22. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 86. Silva A. 2. Sousa B.	3. Bastos V. 24. Dani 14. Doukoure H. 23. Emanuel 88. Leite R. 98. Lourenco O. 80. Miguel B. (G) 11. Sousa A. 10. Sousa C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fafe won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fafe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fafe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fafe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.24	Fafe - Canelas	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Braga B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Trofense - Fafe	0:1 ✺
05.01.24	Fafe - Felgueiras	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Lusitânia - Fafe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTWLW
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.24	Fafe - Canelas	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Lusitânia - Canelas	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Canelas - Varzim	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Vianense - Canelas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.24	Fafe - Canelas	0:0
29.10.23	Canelas - Fafe	3:1
21.01.23	Fafe - Canelas	0:2
17.09.22	Canelas - Fafe	1:0
23.04.22	Fafe - Canelas	2:0
03.04.22	Canelas - Fafe	1:3
07.01.22	Canelas - Fafe	3:2

Fafe - Canelas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide