Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Fafe

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.52	4.18	6.62
	1.49	3.94	6.2
	1.49	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	4.01 ↑ (3.4)	5.98 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
61.5%

Draw
23%

Fafe
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 20. Moura M. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 11. Pereira M. 8. Landinho 18. Pereira G. 30. Feliz 77. Andrade D. 27. Ca L.	1. Gabriel E. (G) 85. Castro D. 5. Goncalves N. 15. Miguel J. 57. Richard 23. Veiga D. 86. Silva A. 18. Ribeiro P. 8. Fortunato B. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 28. Joel
Substitutes
21. Brito H. 22. Bruninho 16. Caio Lopes 9. Monteiro T. 15. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 28. Rosas P. 1. Sao Bento V. (G) 13. Takahashi K. 2. Ze Diogo	7. Balde U. 4. Chicao 24. Didi 12. Elias Junior M. S. 79. Ferreira L. (G) 20. Folha A. 6. Mendes F. 27. Monteiro B. 22. Pinto Galil L. G. (G)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 4.

Felgueiras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fafe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Felgueiras to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Felgueiras - Anadia	2:3 ✺
20.08.23	Canelas - Felgueiras	0:8 ✺
13.08.23	Felgueiras - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW
- AD Fafe
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Fafe - Lusitânia	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Sanjoanense - Fafe	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Fafe - Varzim	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Anadia - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:2 ET
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Fafe - Felgueiras	1:1
13.11.22	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0
23.02.22	Fafe - Felgueiras	0:1
18.09.21	Felgueiras - Fafe	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.03.21	Fafe - Felgueiras	2:1
18.12.20	Felgueiras - Fafe	2:1

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