Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe (Fafe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fafe		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.75
	1.98	3.29	4.17
	1.94	3.31	3.97	Watch
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.94	3.08	3.83	Watch
	1.88	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.81)	3.15 ↓ (3.37)	3.87 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
47.3%

Draw
29.1%

Trofense
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fafe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Fafe - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fafe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Martins T. (G) 20. Amorim J. 26. Batista J. (C) 8. Braga V. 85. Castro D. 10. Ka 11. Picas 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 9. Santos J. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J.	13. Silva N. (C) 14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 15. Borges F. 5. Cunha G. 19. Diarra M. 22. Duarte E. 7. Ivandro 29. Joel 89. Nuninho 2. Oliveira J. 8. Reko Silva
Substitutes
15. Breno 77. Carlos Daniel 21. Davis SIlva 95. Fonseca T. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 19. Leal J. 78. Pinto G. 79. Teixeira T. 5. Ze Oliveira	18. Diagne O. 9. Hachadi K. 26. Lobo G. 87. Melro R. 21. Pereira M. 96. Rendeiro R. (G) 79. Rocha T. 77. Roka 30. Welisson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Teixeira L. 🟥,
11', 0 - 1, Cunha G. (Penalty Awarded),
13', Braga V. ↓, Ze Oliveira ↑,
16', Diarra M. 🟨,
29', Ze Oliveira 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Cunha G. ⚽,
33', Batista J. 🟨,
45+6', Duarte E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ivandro ↓, Melro R. ↑,
46', Diarra M. ↓, Melro R. ↑,
54', Lobo G. 🟨,
57', Lobo G. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
59', Castro D. 🟨,
59', Amorim J. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
68', Duarte E. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
68', Assis Cardoso R. H. ↓, Welisson ↑,
75', Picas ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
76', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
80', Silva N. 🟨,
83', Borges F. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Trofense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fafe is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Marco 09 - Fafe	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Fafe - Paredes	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Fafe - Arouca	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
09.11.25	Sanjoanense - Fafe	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Braga B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Trofense - Paredes	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Trofense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Marco 09 - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Trofense - Fafe	5:1
14.12.24	Trofense - Fafe	3:2
31.08.24	Fafe - Trofense	1:0
27.04.24	Fafe - Trofense	2:3
24.02.24	Trofense - Fafe	1:3
13.01.24	Trofense - Fafe	0:1
01.10.23	Fafe - Trofense	2:1

Fafe - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide