Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paredes		Fafe

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.00	3.30
	1.83	3.30	3.75
	2.12	3.10	3.88
	2.14	3.06	3.63	Watch
	2.09	2.95	3.80
	2.06	2.88	3.73
	2.00	3.10	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.64 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
45%

Draw
29.9%

Fafe
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fafe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Paredes - Fafe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 11. Almara F. 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. (C) 14. Erik 44. Gustavo Fernandes 7. Miguel 10. Rodrigues D. 8. Silva D. 6. Val B. 13. Vigario J.	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 88. Asamoah K. 26. Batista J. (C) 10. Carvalho D. 20. Carvalho D. 9. Correia M. 11. Picas 2. Ribeiro O. 6. Sequeira 4. Teixeira L. 13. Veiga T.
Substitutes
30. Canario F. 24. Edu 16. Goncalves T. (G) 23. Macedo Z. 78. Ruca 26. Santos Outeiro D. 29. Vasco Rocha 84. Yuk J. 5. Ze Oliveira	15. Breno 16. Dinis G. 28. Ferreira B. 99. Guilherme Carneiro 8. Mimito 90. Otumba P. 3. Pereira P. 7. Rafael Martins 18. Silva S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Sequeira ↓, Breno ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Almara F. ⚽, Gustavo Fernandes (A),
23', Ribeiro O. 🟨,
39', Miguel 🟨,
45+1', Batista J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Rodrigues D. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
59', Carvalho D. ↓, Otumba P. ↑,
69', Correia M. 🟨,
71', Carvalho D. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
71', Batista J. ↓, Mimito ↑,
71', Ribeiro O. ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
74', Erik ↓, Ruca ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Veiga T. ⚽,
82', Almara F. ↓, Yuk J. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Canario F. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
87', Teixeira L. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 0.

Fafe is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paredes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Paredes - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
05.09.26	Varzim - Paredes	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Paredes	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Paredes - Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.05.26	Paredes - Marco 09	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWWT
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
06.09.26	Leça - Fafe	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Fafe	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.26	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.03.26	Fafe - Paredes	1:0
08.03.26	Paredes - Fafe	0:0
29.11.25	Fafe - Paredes	2:1
17.08.25	Paredes - Fafe	1:1
28.01.23	Paredes - Fafe	0:1
09.10.22	Fafe - Paredes	0:0

Paredes - Fafe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide