The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fagiano Okayama 52.7%
Draw 27.8%
Ryūkyū 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
27%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
25.2%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fagiano Okayama's form might have worsened.
Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryūkyū's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryūkyū, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.2%
20.8%
25%
Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 34.3% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 1.
Recent matches Okayama is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ryūkyū has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Okayama is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Okayama won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.