Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Fajr Sepasi		Baadraan Tehran

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.35	2.75	2.88
	2.31	2.75	3
	2.43	2.88	3.05
	2.42	2.89	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.87)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.02 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
38%

Draw
32.1%

Baadraan Tehran
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

24.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fajr Sepasi's form might have worsened.

Baadraan Tehran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baadraan Tehran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajr Sepasi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baadraan Tehran than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baadraan Tehran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
24.04.21	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
19.04.21	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
13.04.21	Navad Urmia - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
07.04.21	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWT
- Baadraan Tehran
Iran Division 1
26.04.21	Baadraan Tehran - Havadar	0:2 ✺
19.04.21	Shahrdari Astara - Baadraan Tehran	0:3 ✺
13.04.21	Baadraan Tehran - Arman Gohar	2:0 ✺
07.04.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Baadraan Tehran	1:0 ✺
14.03.21	Baadraan Tehran - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.12.20	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
19.07.20	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	3:1
15.11.19	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	1:1
04.04.19	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	0:0
18.11.18	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
07.01.18	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
07.03.17	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	0:0

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