Match Info

Date: 13 April 2021, Tuesday


	Navad Urmia		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.5	2.35
	3.25	2.4	2.4
	3.9	2.42	2.17
	3.7	2.41	2.51
	3.2	2.4	2.6
	3.38	2.6	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.17)	2.46 ↓ (2.6)	2.42 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
25.9%

Draw
36.8%

Fajr Sepasi
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

35%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.7%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navad Urmia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajr Sepasi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navad Urmia - Fajr Sepasi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to Persian Gulf Pro League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navad Urmia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
07.04.21	Gol Reyhan Alborz - Navad Urmia	1:1 ✺
17.03.21	Navad Urmia - Havadar	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Navad Urmia - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
02.03.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Navad Urmia	3:1 ✺
20.02.21	Navad Urmia - Rayka Babol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTLT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
07.04.21	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
08.03.21	Fajr Sepasi - Gol Reyhan Alborz	0:0 ✺
02.03.21	Shahin Bushehr - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
20.02.21	Fajr Sepasi - Havadar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
05.12.20	Fajr Sepasi - Navad Urmia	1:0
25.07.20	Fajr Sepasi - Navad Urmia	0:1
18.12.19	Navad Urmia - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
25.02.19	Navad Urmia - Fajr Sepasi	2:2
04.11.18	Fajr Sepasi - Navad Urmia	0:0

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