Match Info

Date: 29 December 2021, Wednesday


	Fajr Sepasi		Havadar

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	3.25
	2.36	2.7	3.15
	2.27	2.9	3.27
	2.45	2.55	3.25
	2.34	2.81	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)	2.78 ↓ (2.84)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
39.1%

Draw
32.8%

Havadar
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

22.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajr Sepasi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Havadar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fajr Sepasi - Havadar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Fajr Sepasi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Havadar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
24.12.21	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
19.12.21	Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.21	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
10.12.21	Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLT
- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
24.12.21	Havadar - Tractor Sazi	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.21	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Havadar	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.21	Zob Ahan - Havadar	0:1 ✺
09.12.21	Persepolis - Havadar	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Havadar - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
04.07.21	Havadar - Fajr Sepasi	1:2
20.02.21	Fajr Sepasi - Havadar	1:1
23.02.20	Havadar - Fajr Sepasi	2:1
11.10.19	Fajr Sepasi - Havadar	2:1
10.04.19	Havadar - Fajr Sepasi	2:4

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