Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 10

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Fajr Sepasi		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.82	3.05
	2.41	2.8	3
	2.48	2.77	3.20	Watch
	2.44	2.73	3.09	Watch
	2.39	2.63	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
37.5%

Draw
33.1%

Mes Rafsanjan
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

34%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fajr Sepasi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fajr Sepasi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 4. Jafarikia S. 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 11. Moradi M. 10. Key Shams Y. 6. Rigi M. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 17. Shahabi H. 9. Bozorg S. 8. Esmaeili F.	44. Mirzazad N. (G) 4. Salimi I. 27. Kurdic N. 2. Sedghi A. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 6. Zendehrooh A. 78. Jolani A. 34. Fakhreddini M. 50. Heydarieh V. 22. Matheus Costa 11. Sharifi M.
Substitutes
13. Haghdoost M. 3. Helichi A. 70. Nokhodkar H. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 18. Rezaei M. 5. Shahabassi S. 30. Taher A. . Vosoughifard A. 7. Zare S.	66. Afkham A. 24. Choubdari H. 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 86. Khatibi F. 8. Komar N. 20. Naghizadeh A. 10. Nariman S. 5. Nasiri M. 99. Nikmehr A. 1. Parsa P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Matheus Costa ⚽, Fakhreddini M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, Helichi A. ⚽, Haghdoost M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1.

In recent matches, Fajr Sepasi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mes Rafsanjan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
01.11.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Fajr Sepasi - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLWTW
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
03.05.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:1
15.12.21	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
Iran Division 1
02.08.20	Mes Rafsanjan - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
30.11.19	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1
09.03.19	Mes Rafsanjan - Fajr Sepasi	4:3
28.10.18	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
21.01.18	Mes Rafsanjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:1

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