The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aluminium Arak 37%
Draw 38.2%
Fajr Sepasi 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
32.9%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
31.7%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 26. Norouzifard B. 41. Jorjani Y. 4. Houshmand A. 13. Mahdavi M. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 9. Mehdipour M. 77. Vatandoust A. 80. Kahrizi A. 11. Marzban R. 78. Jafari R.
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 4. Jafarikia S. 3. Helichi A. 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 11. Moradi M. 8. Esmaeili F. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 6. Rigi M. 9. Bozorg S. 17. Shahabi H.
Substitutes
70. Badragheh M. 90. Ezhdehakosh K. 18. Ghanbari A. 2. Goudarzi B. 17. Hosseini S. 23. Kamandlou A. 57. Khodayarifard M. 5. Noori A. 7. Reza Hosseini S. M. 3. Sokhtanloo A. 88. Tayefeh M. (G)
23. Firooz F. 13. Haghdoost M. 10. Key Shams Y. . Niknafs Z. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 18. Rezaei M. 5. Shahabassi S. . Vosoughifard A. 7. Zare S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Jafarikia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Moradi M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Shahabi H. ⚽, Moradi M. (A),
62', Jorjani Y. ↓, Sokhtanloo A. ↑,
72', Bozorg S. ↓, Rezaei M. ↑,
72', Esmaeili F. ↓, Zare S. ↑,
72', Moradi M. ↓, Vosoughifard A. ↑,
79', Vatandoust A. ↓, Ghanbari A. ↑,
79', Jahan Kohan A. ↓, Noori A. ↑,
88', Shahabi H. ↓, Haghdoost M. ↑,
88', Mehdipour M. ↓, Hosseini S. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Hosseini S. ⚽, Marzban R. (A),
90+10', Helichi A. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminium Arak won 4.
Aluminium Arak has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fajr Sepasi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Aluminium Arak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Aluminium Arak could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aluminium Arak won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Aluminium Arak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
Watch
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Khalifeh M. (G) 
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