Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Fajr Sepasi		Shahr Khodrou

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	4.1
	2.06	2.6	4.2
	1.99	2.76	4.72
	1.99	2.74	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)	2.71 ↑ (2.67)	4.43 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
45.4%

Draw
33.9%

Shahr Khodrou
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

34.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

23.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Shahr Khodrou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajr Sepasi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahr Khodrou than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahr Khodrou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fajr Sepasi - Shahr Khodrou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Fajr Sepasi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
06.03.22	Sepahan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
28.02.22	Fajr Sepasi - Paykan	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
18.02.22	Fajr Sepasi - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL
- Shahr Khodrou
Iran Pro League
06.03.22	Shahr Khodrou - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
28.02.22	Zob Ahan - Shahr Khodrou	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Shahr Khodrou - Havadar	0:1 ✺
18.02.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Shahr Khodrou	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Shahr Khodrou - Mes Rafsanjan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
30.11.21	Shahr Khodrou - Fajr Sepasi	0:0

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