Match Info

Sergipano - Round 2

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)


	Falcon		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.15	1.43
	6.32	4.28	1.43	Watch
	7	3.9	1.4
	7.2	4.3	1.37
	3.75	3.14	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (4.13)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
15.3%

Draw
23.5%

Itabaiana
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.7%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcon's form might have worsened.

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabaiana's recent form is better than expected.

Falcon - Itabaiana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Luan Silva (Penalty Awarded),
64', 0 - 2, Yago Henrique ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falcon won 0.

In this match, Itabaiana is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Falcon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Falcon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
10.01.26	Lagarto - Falcon	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Confiança - Falcon	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Falcon - Confiança	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLLWL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
11.01.26	Itabaiana - Atlético Gloriense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	ABC - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Itabaiana - Maringá	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ponte Preta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
01.02.25	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0
18.02.24	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0
26.03.23	Itabaiana - Falcon	2:1 penalties
18.03.23	Falcon - Itabaiana	1:1
11.02.23	Itabaiana - Falcon	1:0
25.02.22	Itabaiana - Falcon	2:1
25.01.22	Falcon - Itabaiana	0:1

Falcon - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide