Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)


	AFC Malmö		Norrby

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.88	3.5	3.8
	1.91	3.45	3.76
	1.93	3.47	3.87	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.89	3.45	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.16)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
49%

Draw
26.8%

Norrby
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Malmö's performance.

Norrby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norrby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norrby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Malmö - Norrby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - AFC Malmö (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Malmö will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. AFC Malmö (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Rekabe K. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 4. Blomqvist A. 8. Brannefalk J. 36. Kristiansson V. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 7. Sandstrom A. 20. Simba P. 16. Sverrisson O.	1. Banozic S. (G) 16. Abdulazeez Y. 11. Andersson M. 14. Backlund O. 10. Bichis J. 18. Edenvik J. 3. Engvall J. 22. Helge T. 6. Hjalmar J. 17. Spendler T. 5. Svendsen V. (C)
Substitutes
5. Bunjaku G. 77. Castro V. 22. Karaman E. 25. Lubwama R. (G) 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. 14. Wettergren L. 9. Zadran R.	19. Back Engstrom M. 4. Dahl L. 15. Isa L. 24. Paulsen L. 23. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Andersson M. ⚽,
74', 0 - 2, Bichis J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

Ariana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Norrby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ariana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ariana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
29.05.25	Torslanda - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	AFC Malmö - Ljungskile	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	AFC Malmö - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTTW
- Norrby IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
29.05.25	Norrby - Ängelholm	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	IFK Skövde - Norrby	1:0 ✺
16.05.25	Norrby - Trollhättan	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Rosengård 1917 - Norrby	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Norrby - Lunds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.10.24	AFC Malmö - Norrby	2:1
14.04.24	Norrby - AFC Malmö	1:2
11.11.23	Norrby - AFC Malmö	3:0
15.04.23	AFC Malmö - Norrby	0:1

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