Match Info

Date: 9 August 2020, Sunday


	Falkenberg		Malmö

	1	X	2
	9	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8	4.75	1.36
	9	4.8	1.37	Watch
	8	4.8	1.34
	9.04	4.96	1.37
	8.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	9.2	5.6	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.68 ↑ (8.39)	4.99 ↑ (4.88)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
10.9%

Draw
19%

Malmö
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

19.5%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

17.2%

78.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	6.1%	84.8%

Falkenberg - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Falkenbergs has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Malmö has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (77%), has a good chance of win league (77%).

Recent matches Falkenbergs is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malmö is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malmö is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Falkenbergs won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenbergs won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.08.20	Hammarby - Falkenberg	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	Örebro - Falkenberg	1:2 ✺
26.07.20	Falkenberg - Norrköping	3:3 ✺
23.07.20	IFK Göteborg - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
19.07.20	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWTTT
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.08.20	Malmö - Helsingborg	4:1 ✺
02.08.20	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
30.07.20	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	2:1 ET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.20	Sirius - Malmö	2:5 ✺
23.07.20	Malmö - Hammarby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
18.08.19	Malmö - Falkenberg	5:0
05.05.19	Falkenberg - Malmö	1:2
Svenska Cupen
02.03.19	Malmö - Falkenberg	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.10.16	Falkenberg - Malmö	0:3
23.05.16	Malmö - Falkenberg	2:0
23.09.15	Malmö - Falkenberg	4:3
24.04.15	Falkenberg - Malmö	3:3

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