Match Info

Superettan - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	19:05	TV12, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.50
	2.55	3.40	2.45
	2.72	3.45	2.35
	2.75	3.85	2.43
	2.72	3.77	2.32	Watch
	2.65	3.8	2.35
	2.77	3.54	2.29	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.15)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	2.38 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
34.9%

Draw
26.1%

Falkenberg
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Örebro's form might have worsened.

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkenberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Örebro - Falkenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Falkenberg will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.70) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 3. Sandberg V. 32. Stenberg J. 19. Haliti J. 25. Amatkarijo C. 9. Yakoub A. 8. Kusu M. 23. Rakip E. 11. Redenstrand C. 10. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 17. Holmberg K. (C)	1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 17. Miftari A. 23. Salo A. (C) 12. Rupia-Ellis A. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Mohammad E. 9. Andersson A. 11. Kallstrom H.
Substitutes
15. Astvald L. 22. Bovalina G. 6. Ibrahimbegovic E. 33. Larsson N. (G) 5. Ortmark J. 12. Salihovic D. 16. Soderstrom H. 21. Wahlstrom F. 7. Wikman S.	25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 8. Bertilsson N. 5. Hansson N. 29. Komano H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 18. Sangare L. 4. Stalheden T. 14. Videhult W.
Coaches
Haginge P.	Andersson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Borgstrom L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Aguda G. 🟨,
64', Miftari A. 🟥,
67', Mohammad E. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
78', Yakoub A. ↓, Ortmark J. ↑,
82', Rakip E. 🟨,
82', Kallstrom H. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
82', Rupia-Ellis A. ↓, Bertilsson N. ↑,
90', Lindberg O. ↓, Videhult W. ↑,
90+2', Kusu M. ↓, Soderstrom H. ↑,
90+2', Holmberg K. ↓, Wikman S. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 2.

Örebro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Falkenberg is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Örebro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Örebro has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:22 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Örebro against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	28	15	6	7	52:38	14	51
13	Orebro	28	6	11	11	31:42	-11	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
20.10.26	Norrköping - Örebro	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Örebro - Ljungskile	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Örebro - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
19.09.26	Sandviken - Örebro	4:2 ✺
14.09.26	Örebro - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLT
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
17.10.26	Falkenberg - Landskrona	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Värnamo - Falkenberg	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Falkenberg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ljungskile - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Falkenberg - Öster	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.06.26	Falkenberg - Örebro	1:1
05.10.25	Örebro - Falkenberg	4:1
29.04.25	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1
Club Friendly
12.03.21	Örebro - Falkenberg	3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.10.20	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1
01.08.20	Örebro - Falkenberg	1:2
20.07.19	Örebro - Falkenberg	4:0

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