Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Falkenberg		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.85
	2.14	4.1	2.95	Watch
	2.07	3.8	3
	2.14	4.2	3.09
	2.1	3.9	3.1	Watch
	2.13	3.88	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	3 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
44.6%

Draw
23.8%

Mjällby
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

17.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkenberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjällby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	4.9%	26.8%

Falkenberg - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). Mjällby will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkenberg: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation to Superettan and 6).

Falkenbergs has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Mjällby has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Recent matches Falkenbergs is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mjällby in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Falkenbergs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Falkenbergs won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenbergs won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.11.20	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
23.11.20	Norrköping - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
07.11.20	Falkenberg - Elfsborg	1:3 ✺
01.11.20	Falkenberg - Djurgården	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Kalmar - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLWT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.11.20	Mjällby - Djurgården	2:1 ✺
23.11.20	Sirius - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Mjällby - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	3:0 ✺
24.10.20	Häcken - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
25.06.20	Mjällby - Falkenberg	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.06.20	Mjällby - Falkenberg	0:1
Club Friendly
30.01.19	Falkenberg - Mjällby	2:1
03.03.18	Falkenberg - Mjällby	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.14	Falkenberg - Mjällby	1:1
12.07.14	Mjällby - Falkenberg	1:1

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