Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Slovenia	Sportklub
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Mjällby		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.9	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.85	Watch
	1.67	4.16	4.79
	1.35	5.12	8.08	Watch
	1.8	3.89	3.89	Watch
	1.36	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.34)	4.28 ↓ (4.8)	5.22 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
58.9%

Draw
22.6%

Norrköping
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

17.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjällby's form might have worsened.

Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norrköping's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrköping, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Mjällby - Norrköping Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Norrköping (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Norrköping (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Mjällby (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 3 - 60%). Norrköping (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tornqvist N. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 4. Noren A. 3. Tchouante C. 19. Manneh A. 39. Arrhenius R. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Thorell L. 26. Charles U. 18. Bergstrom J. 11. Stavitski T.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 4. Sogaard A. 19. Watson M. 3. Baggesen M. 7. Fransson A. 9. Traustason A. 25. Jansson K. 22. Prica T. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 23. Bengtsson L. 7. Gustafson V. 14. Johansson H. 10. Kjaer J. 35. Lundin A. (G) 21. Petersson A. 24. Pettersson T. 27. Tidstrand L.	28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 31. Lindvall J. 11. Lushaku I. 17. Tamba A.
Coaches
Torstensson A.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Nyman C. ⚽,
30', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
42', Prica T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Stavitski T. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
46', Tchouante C. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
46', Arrhenius R. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Pettersson T. ⚽,
65', Prica T. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
67', Thorell L. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
82', Baggesen M. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
82', Fransson A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
90+1', Charles U. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
90+3', Watson M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).

Mjällby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.

Mjällby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrköping has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T. (Inactive)

We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Mjällby - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Mjällby - Öster	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Degerfors - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.25	Norrköping - Malmö	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	GAIS - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Häcken - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Norrköping - AIK	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Halmstad - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
26.05.25	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:1
26.08.24	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:2
06.04.24	Mjällby - Norrköping	3:0
18.09.23	Norrköping - Mjällby	0:2
16.07.23	Mjällby - Norrköping	1:2
10.10.22	Norrköping - Mjällby	2:2
26.06.22	Mjällby - Norrköping	1:1

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