Match Info

Superettan - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Beigi R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Utsikten

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.5
	1.61	3.9	4.5
	1.72	3.8	4.35
	1.64	4.13	5.05
	1.25	5.67	10.53	Watch
	1.71	3.78	4.53	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)	4.09 ↑ (3.63)	5.35 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
58.7%

Draw
23.4%

Utsikten
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkenberg's performance.

Utsikten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utsikten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkenberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utsikten than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Falkenberg - Utsikten Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Falkenberg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 17. Sibelius L. 21. Andersson A. 22. Ekblom V.	31. Amos T. (G) 4. Tokpah D. 33. Lagerlund S. 21. Rodeblad Lowe K. 13. Moenza M. (C) 10. Kabashi A. 8. Faltsetas A. 25. Johansson N. 7. Titi A. 11. Book R. 16. Jawla K.
Substitutes
5. Hansson N. 26. Hindi S. 2. Johansson G. 16. Kallstrom H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 10. Shahin L. 14. Shears I.	3. Abadid L. 17. Andren E. 1. Gustafsson O. (G) 12. Hjort W. 23. Karlsson A. 24. Salaou A.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Orovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sibelius L. ⚽, Aguda G. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Johansson N. (Own goal),
32', 3 - 0, Bertilsson N. ⚽, Sibelius L. (A),
36', Tokpah D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Titi A. ↓, Hjort W. ↑,
53', Tokpah D. ↓, Karlsson A. ↑,
67', Karlsson A. 🟨,
68', Faltsetas A. ↓, Andren E. ↑,
68', Book R. ↓, Ball O. ↑,
74', Sibelius L. ↓, Kallstrom H. ↑,
78', Andersson A. 🟨,
78', Kabashi A. 🟨,
86', Aguda G. ↓, Shears I. ↑,
86', Ekblom V. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
90+2', Bertilsson N. ↓, Johansson G. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Karlsson A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Recent performances by Falkenberg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utsikten is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Falkenberg is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Falkenberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
30.08.25	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Falkenberg - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Sölvesborg - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Falkenberg - Brage	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL
- Utsiktens BK
Swedish Superettan
31.08.25	Utsikten - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Västerås SK - Utsikten	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	IFK Skövde - Utsikten	3:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.25	Utsikten - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Helsingborg - Utsikten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
10.05.25	Utsikten - Falkenberg	2:2
Svenska Cupen
22.02.21	Utsikten - Falkenberg	1:3
24.08.16	Utsikten - Falkenberg	0:4
Club Friendly
07.03.15	Falkenberg - Utsikten	0:2

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