Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Castelfidardo

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Fano
52.5%

Draw
27.3%

Castelfidardo
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fano's performance.

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Fano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.05.22	Porto DAscoli - Fano	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Fano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:1 ✺
11.05.22	Roma City - Fano	0:3 ✺
07.05.22	Fano - Nereto	5:1 ✺
24.04.22	Recanatese - Fano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.05.22	Roma City - Castelfidardo	0:0 ✺
15.05.22	Castelfidardo - Nereto	1:1 ✺
11.05.22	Recanatese - Castelfidardo	2:3 ✺
07.05.22	Castelfidardo - Trastevere	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Pineto - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTWLL

Fano - Castelfidardo